Nigeria’s Eurobond market closed the week on a bearish note, after a volatile stretch driven by U.S. economic data and shifting expectations around Federal Reserve policy.
Trading opened active as investors positioned ahead of U.S. retail sales data, which came in stronger than forecast at 0.6%, beating the 0.2% consensus and briefly lifting sentiment.
Attention quickly turned to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, where Chair Jerome Powell announced a 25-basis-point rate cut to a range of 4.00%–4.25%, in line with market expectations. However, Powell’s cautious remarks offered little clarity on the future path of interest rates, prompting a wave of uncertainty.
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Further pressure came from U.S. jobless claims, which fell to 231,000, below the expected 241,000 and the previous reading of 264,000, adding to speculation over the Fed’s next move. By week’s end, the lack of clear forward guidance triggered broad sell-offs across emerging markets, pushing Nigeria’s average Eurobond yield up by 15 basis points week-on-week to 7.86%.
The uptick in yields signals heightened investor caution, with Nigerian Eurobonds vulnerable to global risk sentiment.
All eyes now turn to upcoming Flash PMI, U.S. GDP, Powell’s next speech, and the PCE inflation data, which could shape expectations for further Fed action and, in turn, drive the next direction for Nigeria’s sovereign debt.
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