Gold Holds Ground as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Fade, Tariffs Add Backstop

September 26, 2025

Gold prices steadied on Friday as strong U.S. economic data tempered expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while new U.S. tariffs helped support safe-haven demand ahead of a key inflation report.

Spot gold traded at $3,748.41 per ounce as of 06:05 GMT, leaving the metal up about 1.6% for the week, according to Reuters. U.S. gold futures for December delivery were also flat at $3,774.50.

Fresh U.S. data showed weekly jobless claims declined and second-quarter GDP growth was revised higher, signaling resilient consumer spending and business investment.

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The stronger readings have led investors to scale back bets on near-term rate cuts, with the CME FedWatch tool showing reduced expectations for October and December policy easing. Higher U.S. yields typically weigh on gold by increasing the opportunity cost of holding the non-interest-bearing asset.

READ ALSO: Gold Remains Too Hot To Chase, Too Hot to Short!

Gold Nears $3,600 as Weak U.S. Jobs Data Fuels Fed Rate Cut Bets

At the same time, new tariffs announced by President Donald Trump, scheduled to take effect on October 1, have injected fresh uncertainty into global markets and bolstered demand for gold as a hedge against policy and trade risks.

Market attention is now focused on the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, which is expected to show a 0.3% month-on-month rise and a 2.7% annual increase for August.

Analysts say gold’s broader uptrend remains intact, though a near-term correction is possible before any sustained push higher. Technical watchers point to support near $3,720–3,715 and resistance around $3,752, with a decisive break above $3,800 potentially opening the door to renewed buying.

For now, the precious metal remains caught between two forces: fading hopes of rapid Fed rate cuts, which cap upside momentum, and tariff-driven safe-haven flows that continue to underpin prices.

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Amanze Chinonye is a Staff Correspondent at Prime Business Africa, a rising star in the literary world, weaving captivating stories that transport readers to the vibrant landscapes of Nigeria and the rest of Africa. With a unique voice that blends with the newspaper's tradition and style, Chinonye's writing is a masterful exploration of the human condition, delving into themes of identity, culture, and social justice. Through her words, Chinonye paints vivid portraits of everyday African life, from the bustling markets of Nigeria's Lagos to the quiet villages of South Africa's countryside . With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the complexities of Nigerian society, Chinonye's writing is both a testament to the country's rich cultural heritage and a powerful call to action for a brighter future. As a writer, Chinonye is a true storyteller, using her dexterity to educate, inspire, and uplift readers around the world.

Amanze Chinonye

Amanze Chinonye is a Staff Correspondent at Prime Business Africa, a rising star in the literary world, weaving captivating stories that transport readers to the vibrant landscapes of Nigeria and the rest of Africa. With a unique voice that blends with the newspaper's tradition and style, Chinonye's writing is a masterful exploration of the human condition, delving into themes of identity, culture, and social justice. Through her words, Chinonye paints vivid portraits of everyday African life, from the bustling markets of Nigeria's Lagos to the quiet villages of South Africa's countryside . With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the complexities of Nigerian society, Chinonye's writing is both a testament to the country's rich cultural heritage and a powerful call to action for a brighter future. As a writer, Chinonye is a true storyteller, using her dexterity to educate, inspire, and uplift readers around the world.

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