Emmanuel Ochayi
Market Rally Driven by Financial Stocks
In the trading week ending October 25, Nigeria’s equity market gained N835 billion, showcasing solid growth amid mixed trading. The increase, driven largely by banking, insurance, and oil and gas stocks, comes despite profit-taking in consumer goods shares. The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 1.41 percent, moving from 98,070.28 points to 99,448.91 points, while market capitalisation advanced from N59.425 trillion to N60.26 trillion.
Join our WhatsApp ChannelAnalysts and market observers say the banking and financial sectors played a crucial role in lifting the equity market. “This week, the banking stocks performed above expectations, helping to sustain the equity market’s upward trend despite some setbacks in consumer goods,” remarked Chijioke Ude, a Lagos-based analyst.
Strong Market Breadth as More Stocks Appreciate
The trading week saw 58 equities gain in price, an increase from 33 equities in the previous week. Conversely, only 18 equities depreciated, which is a substantial improvement over the 43 that dropped the week before. In addition, 76 equities remained unchanged, matching the previous week’s figure.
“This upward momentum reflects the resilience of the equity market even amidst global and local economic challenges,” Ude added. He highlighted how the stability of unchanged equities along with increased gainers is “an indicator of steady investor confidence.”
Mixed Performance Across Sectors
While the equity market saw positive results overall, not all sectors performed equally. Banking and insurance stocks led the gains, while consumer goods stocks saw a slight decline. The NGX Consumer Goods Index dipped by 0.84 percent, and the NGX Lotus II index was down by 1.19 percent. However, the NGX ASeM index remained stable, indicating selective investor sentiment across sectors.
Oil and gas stocks also contributed to the gains, as rising energy prices lifted investor confidence in these equities. However, consumer goods struggled due to rising operational costs affecting corporate profitability in the sector. “The consumer goods sector is currently facing cost pressures, which are translating into profit-taking by cautious investors,” said Olaide Balogun, a senior economist.
READ ALSO: Nigeria’s Equity Market Rises By 0.20% As Investors Anticipate Treasury Bills Auction
Monday Outlook: Analysts Predict Continued Interest
Analysts at Vetiva Research predict that investor interest will remain strong in the coming week. They expect attractive stock offers to draw buyers across sectors, though some profit-taking may also occur. “As expected, buy-side action in the banking space eased on Friday. However, the market breadth had its best day of the week,” Vetiva analysts stated in their post-market commentary.
Many investors appear cautiously optimistic about the coming week. “With gains across the equity market, especially in banking and financial stocks, investors are likely to continue showing interest in high-performing sectors,” said a spokesperson from Vetiva Research. This cautious optimism stems from the strong market breadth recorded during the last trading week, which analysts interpret as a sign of sustained interest from both local and foreign investors.
Foreign Investor Participation Remains High
Foreign participation in Nigeria’s equity market has remained a significant driver of gains, particularly in sectors like banking and insurance, which have shown resilience. Many international investors are attracted to Nigeria’s emerging market, viewing it as a diversification opportunity amid uncertain global markets.
Local investors are also playing an essential role in driving up the numbers. “Local investors have grown more active, taking advantage of the higher yields in the equity market,” noted Ude. He explained that the local investment surge is due in part to a lack of attractive alternative investments in Nigeria.
Market Watch: Key Indicators to Follow
As the new week begins, analysts advise market participants to keep an eye on several key indicators. Firstly, banking sector performance remains critical as it has been a major growth driver. Additionally, oil price fluctuations are likely to impact the oil and gas stocks that rallied last week.
“Investors are keenly watching developments in the banking and oil sectors, given their outsized influence on the equity market,” Balogun observed. Overall, the equity market looks set for a steady start to the coming week, as positive momentum from last week may encourage further gains in financial and energy stocks.
